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Met Coal Junkie
Daily rumours, facts, news & opinions
End-of-Week Market Summary PHCC – November 17–21, 2025
End-of-Week Market Summary – November 17–21, 2025 Tone: Supported but vulnerable – FOB holds firm on tightening trader supply and seasonal risks, even as China’s futures-led correction tempers sentiment. FOB PHCC Holds $195–200 Range: Traders’ inventories are thinning out, helping maintain the $195–200 FOB band. The GYC trade at $200.10 FOB sat at the high end of valuations, but the buyer’s earlier $196+ cargo brings its average closer to ~$198 FOB, making the purchase logica
Nov 211 min read
End-of-Day Market Summary PHCC – November 6–7, 2025
End-of-Day Market Summary – November 6–7, 2025 Tone: Balanced but fragile – The market remains supported by firm Chinese fundamentals, yet persistent weakness in seaborne liquidity and end-user hesitation caps upside momentum. DCE Volatile, Testing 1,250 Support: The DCE Jan contract rebounded briefly before correcting again to test RMB 1,250 , reflecting improving Mongolian inflows and lower pig iron output . While speculative positioning remains active, underlying steel
Nov 91 min read
End-of-Day Market Summary PHCC– November 4–5, 2025
Tone: Firm but cautious – Chinese fundamentals remain tight, with PHCC strength anchored by restocking, though paper and seaborne markets begin to show signs of consolidation after recent highs. Chinese PHCC Strengthens Further: Domestic Anze PHCC surged to RMB 1,670 as the third round of coke price uptick concluded , reinforcing bullish sentiment. Restocking by coke makers is expected to continue, keeping spot prices firm in the near term. DCE Correction with Strong Sup
Nov 51 min read
End-of-Day Market Summary PHCC – November 3, 2025
Tone: Cautious and speculative – Market remains afloat on trader activity while genuine end-user demand stays subdued, revealing an increasingly fragile balance between sentiment and fundamentals. Ex-Indian Seaborne Demand Filled at Discounts: Non-Chinese buyers have been taking discounted index-linked cargoes , but these deals are insufficient to clear the broader seaborne overhang. India’s Demand Sporadic: Indian mill enquiries are uneven and volume-light , unable to
Nov 31 min read
End-of-Week Market Summary PHCC – October 27–31, 2025
End-of-Week Market Summary – October 27–31, 2025 Tone: Diverging and uncertain – Market oscillated between policy-driven optimism and fundamental caution, as China-led sentiment met the reality of rising supply and slower end-user momentum. Policy vs. Reality: The week swung sharply between U.S.–China policy enthusiasm and fundamental correction, exposing the fragile balance between macro expectations and physical coal demand. Seaborne Cargo Count Nears 500kt: With miners and
Oct 311 min read
End-of-Day Market Summary PHCC – October 24, 2025
End-of-Day Market Summary – October 24, 2025 Tone: Bullish but cautious – Strong BHP trades capped a positive week, though talk of Chinese steel cuts injected a note of hesitation into an otherwise firm market. BHP Sells Two Saraji Cargoes @ $194.2 FOB: The first Saraji trades of the year concluded at $194.2 FOB, marking a symbolic high point for the week and reaffirming strength in premium hard coking coal (PLV). Chinese Market Holds Firm: Domestic PHCC spot prices remain st
Oct 241 min read
End-of-Day Market Summary PHCC – October 22–23, 2025
End-of-Day Market Summary – October 22–23, 2025 Tone: Bullish and rebalanced – China’s emergence as the marginal buyer has redefined market dynamics, lifting PLV above PMV and reinforcing confidence across both paper and physical markets. Multiple PLV Cargoes Trade Near $190 FOB: Several PLV parcels were sold to Chinese end users and traders around $190 FOB, underscoring China’s increasing appetite and ability to absorb multiple Australian cargoes. BHP Sells Early-Dec GYC @ ~
Oct 231 min read
End-of-Day Market Summary PHCC – October 21, 2025
End-of-Day Market Summary – October 21, 2025 Tone: Steady and rangebound – Chinese fundamentals remain firm, while seaborne liquidity stays limited, keeping prices anchored around key support levels. Shanxi spot phy China stays firm, but liquidity of Canadian PHCC at Chinese ports remains thin. 190 fob remains a good support level.
Oct 221 min read
End-of-Day Market Summary PHCC – October 17, 2025
End-of-Day Market Summary – October 17, 2025 Tone: Irrationally bullish but fundamentally supported – Policy optimism and persistent supply concerns reignited momentum, pushing futures markets sharply higher despite lingering questions on sustainability. DCE Jan Breaks RMB 1,200: Futures surged past this key psychological threshold during the night session, driven by minor supply disruptions and policy expectations ahead of the upcoming government meeting. TSI November Tracks
Oct 171 min read
End-of-Day Market Summary PHCC – October 16, 2025
End-of-Day Market Summary – October 16, 2025 Tone: Defiant and recalibrating – Despite persistent bearish narratives and lower index prints, actual trades continue to reaffirm market strength, prompting reflection on structural pricing distortions. DCE and TSI Recover in Tandem: DCE Jan rebounded above RMB 1,180, en route to the key 1,200 level, while TSI November climbed back to $195, reinforcing steady underlying sentiment. BHP Sells Early-Dec GYC @ $190 FOB (Fixed): The 75
Oct 161 min read
End-of-Day Market Summary PHCC – October 15, 2025
End-of-Day Market Summary – October 15, 2025 Tone: Testing and divergent – Chinese price strength clashed with expanding seaborne supply, leaving the market to probe the true depth of Chinese demand. Chinese PHCC Hits RMB 1,700 (~$210 FOB): Reports of a recent high in Chinese spot PHCC stirred controversy but set a bullish tone domestically, reaffirming strong internal fundamentals. BHP Sells End-Nov Goonyella @ $189 FOB: The half-index, half-fixed deal landed within expectat
Oct 151 min read
End-of-Day Market Summary PHCC – October 14, 2025
End-of-Day Market Summary – October 14, 2025 Tone: Stabilizing and speculative – Chinese market resilience and policy-driven optimism lifted sentiment, even as seaborne trade stayed quiet. DCE JM Rebounds Sharply: Futures showed a V-shaped recovery from RMB 1,116 to 1,153.5, driven by renewed speculative buying after steel prices briefly broke recent lows in the morning and spot PHCC auction results showing stability in the afternoon. Mongolian Supply Hiccups Add Support: Min
Oct 141 min read
End-of-Day Market Summary PHCC – October 13, 2025
End-of-Day Market Summary – October 13, 2025 Tone: Balanced but pressured – Seaborne market softened under PMV resell pressure even as domestic fundamentals in China stayed firm, with Indian coke makers emerging as a new demand pillar. PMV Resell Weighs on Market: Continued PMV resale offers near $189 FOB Australia dragged sentiment lower, keeping FOB values under pressure despite limited trade activity. China Spot Holds Firm: Domestic PHCC prices remain supported, though ste
Oct 131 min read
End-of-Day Market Summary PHCC – October 10–11, 2025
End-of-Day Market Summary – October 10–11, 2025 Tone: Diverging but resilient – Despite trade-related macro noise, seaborne sentiment...
Oct 111 min read
End-of-Day Market Summary PHCC – October 9, 2025
End-of-Day Market Summary – October 9, 2025 Tone: Bullish undercurrents emerging – A strong BHP trade and improving Chinese signals hint...
Oct 91 min read
End-of-Day Market Summary PHCC – October 8, 2025
End-of-Day Market Summary – October 8, 2025 Tone: Firm but cautious – Chinese domestic stability and Indian market rumours are pulling...
Oct 91 min read
End-of-Day Market Summary PHCC – October 6–7, 2025
End-of-Day Market Summary – October 6–7, 2025 Tone: Constructive and weather-watchful – Indian buying activity lent firmness to the...
Oct 71 min read
End-of-Day Market Summary PHCC – October 3, 2025
End-of-Day Market Summary – October 3, 2025 Tone: Divergent and cautious – Market dynamics are shifting as traders tactically push tier...
Oct 31 min read
End-of-Day Market Summary PHCC – October 2, 2025
End-of-Day Market Summary – October 2, 2025 Tone: Benchmark-focused and steadying – Market corrected but hints of stabilization emerged...
Oct 21 min read
End-of-Day Market Summary PHCC – October 1, 2025
End-of-Day Market Summary – October 1, 2025 Tone: Rumour-driven and tentative – Market opened Q4 with speculative noise fueling limited...
Oct 11 min read
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