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Let's Join - The Junkie Met Coal Sentiment Index: PHCC Sentiment Indicator

  • Writer: Met Coal Junkie
    Met Coal Junkie
  • 2 days ago
  • 2 min read

Welcome to the Junkie Met Coal Sentiment Index — the market's first sentiment index built specifically for the premium hard coking coal (PHCC) market.


This is a passion project born out of a simple idea: what if we could quantify how the market feels before the trades even print?


We know the PHCC market is tight, opaque, and dominated by a few players — so we built this index to capture real, ground-level sentiment from those who live and breathe this space: miners, steel mills, traders, funds, and analysts.


Inspired by the classic PMI framework, the index turns weekly qualitative insights into a clean score between 0 and 100. Each participant answers just 4 quick questions tailored to their role — covering things like cargo availability, buyer/seller behavior, and price expectations. The fifth optional question provides a qualitative flavour.


Scoring is simple:


  • Bullish / Improved = 1.0

  • Neutral / No change = 0.5

  • Bearish / Deteriorated = 0.0


Then we weigh responses based on market influence to reflect reality, not just volume of replies:


  • Miners – 25%

  • Steel Mills – 25%

  • Traders – 25%

  • Financial Funds – 15%

  • Analysts & Reporters – 10%


🔍 How to Read the Index:


  • >70 → Bullish (tightness, demand > supply)

  • 50–70 → Neutral to slightly bullish

  • <50 → Bearish (oversupply, weaker sentiment)


We update the index every week, and our mission is simple:


  • Anonymous for honest input

  • Accurate to reflect real market tone

  • Predictive of what may come next


This is an ongoing effort to bring transparency to a market that often runs on whispers. We hope it adds value to your view, your trades, or just your curiosity.


Thanks for being part of it. Let’s share this with your industry friends, and build this together. 


Week 20 results to be released here on 15th May (10:00AM IST).


This is our first trial run — and we warmly welcome your feedback to help make it better. Please email any feedback to metcoaljunkie@gmail.com


Please complete the 60-second form below. If you are unable to view the form below, please complete the form here: https://forms.gle/J3QboPqXYsr1BgrQA



 
 
 

Join for free and never miss any updates

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Use of this information is at your own risk, and the provider assumes no responsibility for any consequences arising from its use.

Email: metcoaljunkie@gmail.com

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