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[Pinned] Let's Join - The Junkie Met Coal Sentiment Index: PHCC Sentiment Indicator

  • Writer: Met Coal Junkie
    Met Coal Junkie
  • May 13
  • 2 min read

Updated: Jul 7

Welcome to the Junkie Met Coal Sentiment Index — the market's first sentiment index built specifically for the premium hard coking coal (PHCC) market.


This is a passion project born out of a simple idea: what if we could quantify how the market feels before the trades even print?


We know the PHCC market is tight, opaque, and dominated by a few players — so we built this index to capture real, ground-level sentiment from those who live and breathe this space: miners, steel mills, traders, funds, and analysts.


Inspired by the classic PMI framework, the index turns weekly qualitative insights into a clean score between 0 and 100. Each participant answers just 4 quick questions tailored to their role — covering things like cargo availability, buyer/seller behavior, and price expectations. The fifth optional question provides a qualitative flavour.


Scoring is simple:


  • Bullish / Improved = 1.0

  • Neutral / No change = 0.5

  • Bearish / Deteriorated = 0.0


Then we weigh responses based on market influence to reflect reality, not just volume of replies:


  • Miners – 25%

  • Steel Mills – 25%

  • Traders – 25%

  • Financial Funds – 15%

  • Analysts & Reporters – 10%


🔍 How to Read the Index:


  • >70 → Bullish (tightness, demand > supply)

  • 50–70 → Neutral to slightly bullish

  • <50 → Bearish (oversupply, weaker sentiment)


We update the index every week, and our mission is simple:


  • Anonymous for honest input

  • Accurate to reflect real market tone

  • Predictive of what may come next


This is an ongoing effort to bring transparency to a market that often runs on whispers. We hope it adds value to your view, your trades, or just your curiosity.



Thank you for contributing to the Week 27 run of the Junkie Met Coal Sentiment Index.


We’re kicking off the next round of the Junkie Met Coal Sentiment Index here with revised timings:


🕙 Start: Every Tuesday 10:-00 AM (GMT+9)

📊 Results Release: Every Thursday10:00 AM (GMT+9)


Your input continues to be essential in capturing real market sentiment across the PHCC value chain. The survey takes just 60 seconds — and it adds real value.


Let’s keep it going — and build something truly useful together.




 
 
 

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Email: metcoaljunkie@gmail.com

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