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Met Coal Junkie
Daily rumours, facts, news & opinions
Quick Perspective: PLV FOB Chance to Gap Toward 215 as GYC-Only Buyers Remain Uncovered
PLV FOB remains firm with multiple PHCC buyers in India and Southeast Asia still uncovered. Branded miner supply is thin, and while Chinese reloads continue pushing hard to attract interest, their ability to satisfy regional demand is uneven. SEA buyers may consider these reloads, but Indian appetite for such tonnes is limited, leaving the market structurally short of GYC in the near term. With genuine demand still to be filled and limited miner-direct liquidity, the PLV FOB
3 days ago1 min read
Quick Perspective: Chinese PHCC export sets 210 FOB ceiling
Quick Perspective: TSI Jan is trading at the upper band near 209, following today’s 206.51 FOB GYC trade, but is likely to meet resistance shortly. The opportunistic 210 FOB China PHCC offers amid rapidly falling spot physical prices in domestic China should act as a natural brake on further PLV FOB gains.
Dec 31 min read
Quick Perspective: PLV FOB touches 205-210 value with near 230 CFR trade
Quick Perspective: PHCC pushes 205–210 FOB alongside a ~230 CFR India deal, within expectation . Soft Indian steel hasn’t translated into downside pressure yet as buyers remain uncovered for January, and traders' positions thin out. Until miners start offering more Jan tons, the market stays propped up.
Dec 21 min read
Quick Perspective: GYC Demand Surge Pushes FOB Market Toward 205–210
FOB market has broken above $200, supported by the emergence of ex-India demand. Fresh SEA buying interest for 1–2 PMX of GYC is now competing directly with the two traders already holding GYC position cargoes — on top of India’s ongoing GYC requirements. With demand stacking up against limited December/January GYC availability, the market is now positioned to test the $205–210 FOB range in the near term.
Nov 241 min read
Quick Perspective: FOB Market Holds 195–200 as Supply Dynamics Take Control
Quick Perspective Market continues to trade within a 195–200 FOB band, but the drivers have shifted. Earlier on, support came mainly from firm Chinese PHCC values. However, with DCE softening, arb-based cargoes have turned competitive again — illustrated by the 205 CFR China trade from an arb trader to an end user. As highlighted before, these arb cargoes are limited in volume, and the repeatability of 205 CFR is highly questionable from the seller side. Today, support for th
Nov 201 min read
Quick Perspective: China sets 195 FOB floor
Market View (Short-Term Outlook) The market is trading within a narrow 195–200 USD/t FOB range in the near term. China: Spot sentiment remains firm with a tightly balanced supply–demand picture. Domestic spot Shanxi PHCC is already trading at 210–220 USD/t FOB equivalent , but end users are reluctant to lift seaborne PLV above 195 FOB , staying anchored to long-term contracts. As a result, 195 FOB acts as a strong floor , while 200 FOB stands as a psychological resistance
Nov 51 min read
[Exclusive] Battle for Met Coal Benchmark: MCC for Paper, Platts for Physcials?
Met Coal Benchmarks: The Battle Between Precision and Simplicity The metallurgical coal market is watching two major index...
Oct 22 min read
JSW’s economic interest in M Res NSW to 83.33% (from 66.67% currently)
JSW has now lifted its stake in M Res NSW to 83.33%, while M Res NSW itself holds 36% of Golden M, which owns 100% of Illawarra...
Sep 191 min read
Quick Perspective – Can 180 FOB Hold?
Quick Perspective – Can 180 Hold? Executive Summary: 180 FOB is more a fragile checkpoint than a firm floor, with 175 the next test...
Aug 291 min read
Perspective: Drop the 40% Royalty and Watch Prices Drop
Queensland’s top-tier coal royalty—the headline 40% clip above A$300/t—has become the market’s lightning rod. The chorus is getting...
Aug 261 min read
Exclusive from Qingdao Mysteel Conference: Steel Weak, Coal Wild: Where the Smart Money Plays Next
📊 Executive Report – Met Coal & Coke Market Outlook 1. NOW – Current Market Environment Macro-Economy China’s GDP grew 5.3% in H1 2025 ,...
Aug 253 min read
Quick perspective: 190 FOB as ceiling?
Market Perspective – August Outlook FOB Price Outlook FOB market likely to test the 190–195 FOB band only if either emerging Indian...
Aug 151 min read
Nothing beyond expectations from the safety meeting in Beijing
Nothing beyond expectations from the safety meeting in Beijing
Aug 131 min read
Many positive news out of China, DCE Jan may chase previous high near 1320
Many positive news out of China, DCE Jan may chase previous high near 1320
Aug 121 min read
Feature: DCE Coking Coal in the Eye of the Storm: Hangzhou’s Turbulent Ride Through the "Anti-Involution" Rally
Executive Summary: In late July, coking coal surged in a sentiment-driven rally, hitting five consecutive limit-ups before collapsing...
Aug 73 min read
Analysis: Freight Fatigue - Why Rising Oil Could Drag PLV FOB Lower, Not Higher
If Brent crude pushes toward $80/bbl amid rising Middle East tensions, freight markets will be reacting fast. For the coking coal...
Jun 232 min read
Exclusive: China's First Canadian Coal Transshipment to Indonesia Exposes Met Coal Arbitrage—and a Path to Narrowing FOB-CFR Gap
Canadian cargo priced off CFR China index sold at premium to Southeast Asia—traders capitalize on dislocation Putian Port’s first-ever...
Jun 202 min read
Analysis: Is $160 FOB for Australian PLV Realistic?
Executive Summary: PLV FOB prices are once again approaching the $160 mark, raising the question of whether such levels are realistic. In...
Jun 203 min read
Australian PMV Mine Production Status Update – June 19, 2025
Appin Under panel change, with limited production activity expected until possibly early July. The recent underground injury has had...
Jun 191 min read
DCE Coking Coal Rally Explained: From Demand Pessimism to Supply-Side Speculation
DCE JM 09 up 7.19% to RMB 768 as of 3PM GMT +8. The coking coal market is currently driven by multiple speculative headlines, including:...
Jun 41 min read
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