Week 22, 2025 Result - Junkie Met Coal Sentiment Index, PHCC Sentiment Indicator
- Met Coal Junkie
- May 31
- 2 min read
Junkie Met Coal Sentiment Index Week 22: 30.78, -27.40 (Week 21: 58.18)
🔍 How to Read the Index:
>70 → Bullish (tightness, demand > supply)
50–70 → Neutral to slightly bullish
<50 → Bearish (oversupply, weaker sentiment)
📊 Headline Index Score
Week 22 Index: 30.78
Week 21 Index: 58.18
📉 Change: -27.4 points
🔻 This marks a sharp deterioration in sentiment, shifting from slightly bullish to decisively bearish in one week.
🔍 Role-by-Role Comparison
Role | Week 21 Score | Week 22 Score | Δ Change | Commentary |
Traders | 59.38 | 40.63 | -18.75 | Trader sentiment fell sharply, likely due to weak bids, fewer trades, or falling CFR levels |
Analysts | 62.50 | 37.50 | -25.00 | Analysts see a clear pullback — possibly fewer offers, retreating buyers, or softer tone |
Miners | 79.17 | 50.00 | -29.17 | Still neutral overall, but down significantly — possibly now more willing to offer or adjust expectations |
Financials | 25.00 | 18.75 | -6.25 | Continued bearishness, but not the main driver this week |
Steel Mills | 54.16 | 6.25 | -47.91 | 🔻 Dramatic collapse in sentiment — suggests mills have pulled back entirely, potentially oversupplied or pessimistic on near-term prices |
📉 Key Takeaways
The index has entered deep bearish territory, led by a collapse in steel mill sentiment and broad-based softening from all other groups.
Miners’ optimism has faded, though they’re still not as bearish as mills or analysts.
The shift suggests a liquidity vacuum, pricing retreat, or demand pause — especially on the physical side.
⚠️ Important Context
Lower participation this week (likely due to travel and event schedules) means the index may reflect more concentrated or short-term views.
The conference effect likely created a burst of real-time feedback loops — with bearish ideas spreading faster than usual.
🔮 Forward Watch
If mills remain near-zero, it signals deep demand pessimism or high inventory.
Miner tone in Week 23 will reveal if offer levels start chasing buyers lower.
Potential for rebalancing in paper vs physical as financial sentiment has remained consistently low.
Thank You for Participating!
Thank you for contributing to the second run of the Junkie Met Coal Sentiment Index.
We’re kicking off the next round of the Junkie Met Coal Sentiment Index here on:
🕙 Start: 3rd June, 10:00 AM IST📊 Results Release: 5th June, 10:00 AM IST
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